WC26 Live Round-of-32 Simulator

Manual or API-updated group results โ†’ FIFA-style standings โ†’ best third-place ranking โ†’ Round-of-32 bracket slots โ†’ Monte Carlo matchup probabilities. Seeded with the June 25, 2026 snapshot.

Snapshot

Qualified picture

Focused Opponent Watch

Team focus

Match scheduleFixture list with date, group, and status filters.
Best third-place raceCurrent ranking of all third-place teams.
Group standingsFull tables for Groups A-L.
Knockout bracket pathRound-of-32 slots and simulated later-round paths.
ProbabilitiesMonte Carlo matchups, qualification, and title paths.

Most likely R32 matchups

Team qualification probabilities

Title path probabilities

Rule model: group ranking uses head-to-head criteria before overall GD/goals; third-place ranking uses points, GD, goals, conduct/ranking fallback. R32 slot pools are the official named pools; exact third-place assignment requires the full Annex C table. Knockout-depth probabilities use the rough embedded rating priors and are not betting odds.